RAI Association and Bovag expect 390,000 new passenger cars to be sold next year. That is again not 400,000, which is mainly due to the shortage of computer chips, which will also have a negative effect on the car industry next year.
The pandemic has left its mark on various facets of life and has certainly not left the car market unaffected. Initially, Bovag and RAI Association expected the sale of 400,000 new passenger cars this year. That number has since been revised down to 327,000 units. Also next year the sales counter of new passenger cars will probably not touch the 400,000 mark. RAI Association and Bovag bet on 390,000 copies. According to the forecast, the number of light commercial vehicles sold next year will be 67,000. About 20 to 30 percent of new passenger cars sold are expected to be EVs.
It is questionable whether there will be another major run on new electric cars at the end of this year. Last year roughly 40 percent of all EVs sold that year were registered in December. This had to do with the increase in the addition for electric cars. This increased from 8 percent (to €45,000) to 12 percent (to €40,000) effective January 1, 2021. As of January 1, 2022, the addition will increase to 16 percent, to an amount of €35,000. The demand for electric cars will certainly be high, although it is still uncertain to what extent this demand can be met.
The cause of the not too rosy sales forecast, even if it is more favorable than that of 2021, is of course related to the worldwide shortage of computer chips, which, according to the RAI Association and Bovag, will continue next year. To illustrate: a modern passenger car today is packed with about 1,000 chips, about 25 percent more than a few years ago.
– Thanks for information from Autoweek.nl